Is Same-Sex Marriage An Eventuality?Dec 09, 2009
One advantage I have as the Admin of a blog for an organization such as The Family Foundation is that we have thousands of well informed readers and supporters, many of whom alert me to noteworthy articles and subjects. There's so much out there, it's difficult to read everything, so to have a legion of supporting eyes and ears is superb. One great friend of ours, David Adams, gave me the heads up today on this post by Bill Pascoe on his In The Right Blog on CQPolitics.com about the supposed inevitability of legalized homosexual marriage in America (see here). Pascoe doesn't believe it is inevitable, but cites Ben Smith's post on Politico (here) where an unnamed Republican pollster said polling data proves the point: Those against same-sex marriage are old while those who support it are the young'uns. When the older crowd dies off (sooner rather than later under ObamaCare) the more tolerant and enlightened next generation will approve it.
Pascoe perceptively notes, however, that snapshot polling can't take into account how people change their thinking over the years and how events change their life perspective. For example, unmarried and care free college kids now may have one set of (misguided) beliefs, but when by their mid to late 20s, married and with two children of their own, think more like their mid to late 40s parents do now.
I would add to Pascoe's acumen that while younger voters may now agree with homosexual marriage, they vote in, comparatively, puny numbers. So the age group in general, as it matures, will see its voter universe expand. In that larger bloc undoubtedly will be people who don't approve of redefining enduring standards and truth. Others simply won't be driven by such issues whether they agree or don't.
As Pascoe concludes his piece:
The fact is, it's too early to tell how the aging/maturation/growing through life process will affect attitudes on this issue — the issue hasn't been around long enough for good research to have been completed, for a pollster to have followed a group of younger same sex marriage supporters as they grew older, to see if they maintained their support, or if it changed with the arrival of gray hairs and the squawks of children in the household.
It's at times like this I'm reminded of an old saw, usually misattributed to Winston Churchill: "If you're not a liberal when you're 20, you have no heart; but if you're not a conservative by the time you're 40, you have no brain."